Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003428 0.003598 0.003772 0.003963 0.004168 0.004381 0.004619
2025-03-30 0.003094 0.003343 0.003608 0.003911 0.004250 0.004620 0.005053
2025-04-06 0.002911 0.003207 0.003530 0.003912 0.004353 0.004848 0.005451
2025-04-13 0.002689 0.003006 0.003358 0.003783 0.004285 0.004863 0.005587
2025-04-20 0.002582 0.002924 0.003311 0.003788 0.004363 0.005042 0.005914
2025-04-27 0.002521 0.002889 0.003314 0.003845 0.004500 0.005292 0.006335
2025-05-04 0.002418 0.002797 0.003241 0.003806 0.004514 0.005386 0.006560
2025-05-11 0.002333 0.002723 0.003186 0.003782 0.004542 0.005494 0.006805
2025-05-18 0.002254 0.002653 0.003131 0.003755 0.004562 0.005590 0.007033
2025-05-25 0.002224 0.002641 0.003146 0.003814 0.004693 0.005834 0.007471
2025-06-01 0.002164 0.002587 0.003107 0.003802 0.004729 0.005950 0.007736
2025-06-08 0.002101 0.002529 0.003057 0.003773 0.004739 0.006032 0.007954
2025-06-15 0.002028 0.002455 0.002988 0.003717 0.004711 0.006060 0.008098
2025-06-22 0.001963 0.002390 0.002927 0.003669 0.004693 0.006099 0.008261
2025-06-29 0.001923 0.002355 0.002904 0.003670 0.004741 0.006233 0.008569
2025-07-06 0.001836 0.002258 0.002796 0.003551 0.004616 0.006114 0.008485
2025-07-13 0.001803 0.002229 0.002778 0.003556 0.004664 0.006246 0.008794
2025-07-20 0.001790 0.002227 0.002795 0.003608 0.004783 0.006485 0.009284
2025-07-27 0.001745 0.002180 0.002750 0.003572 0.004771 0.006529 0.009460
2025-08-03 0.001707 0.002142 0.002716 0.003550 0.004779 0.006600 0.009685
2025-08-10 0.001669 0.002104 0.002681 0.003525 0.004780 0.006662 0.009896
2025-08-17 0.001662 0.002107 0.002701 0.003580 0.004902 0.006916 0.010445
2025-08-24 0.001632 0.002077 0.002676 0.003569 0.004923 0.007010 0.010725